Lindy effect

proper noun

The hypothesized phenomenon that the future life expectancy of certain nonperishable things (such as a technology or an idea) is proportional to their current age, so that every additional period of survival implies a longer remaining life expectancy.

Meanings

proper nounthe Lindy effect
  1. The hypothesized phenomenon that the future life expectancy of certain nonperishable things (such as a technology or an idea) is proportional to their current age, so that every additional period of survival implies a longer remaining life expectancy.

    Let me warn the reader: while the Lindy effect is one of the most useful, robust, and universal heuristics I know, Lindy's cheesecake is… much less distinguished. Odds are the deli will not survive, by the Lindy effect.

    2018, Nassim Nicholas Taleb, chapter 8, in Skin in the Game, Penguin, →ISBN

Origin

In reference to Lindy's delicatessen in New York, where comedians would meet to discuss showbusiness. This was discussed in "Lindy's Law", a 1964 article by Albert Goldman in The New Republic. Goldman described a folkloric belief that the amount of material comedians have is constant, and therefore the frequency of output predicts how long their series will last.

Full word history & related roots →
Cite this entry
APA

Lindy effect. (n.d.). In WatkinsX Dictionary. Retrieved November 3, 2026, from https://dictionary.watkinsx.com/word/Lindy%20effect

MLA

“Lindy effect.” WatkinsX Dictionary, https://dictionary.watkinsx.com/word/Lindy%20effect. Accessed November 3, 2026.

Chicago

WatkinsX Dictionary, s.v. “Lindy effect,” accessed November 3, 2026, https://dictionary.watkinsx.com/word/Lindy%20effect.

Source: Lindy effect on Wiktionary, CC BY-SA 4.0.