Lucas critique

proper noun

The argument that it is naive to try to predict the effects of a change in economic policy entirely on the basis of relationships observed in historical data, especially when it is highly aggregated.

Meanings

proper nounthe Lucas critique
  1. economicsThe argument that it is naive to try to predict the effects of a change in economic policy entirely on the basis of relationships observed in historical data, especially when it is highly aggregated.

Origin

Named after American economist Robert Lucas.

Full word history & related roots →
Cite this entry
APA

Lucas critique. (n.d.). In WatkinsX Dictionary. Retrieved November 4, 2026, from https://dictionary.watkinsx.com/word/Lucas%20critique

MLA

“Lucas critique.” WatkinsX Dictionary, https://dictionary.watkinsx.com/word/Lucas%20critique. Accessed November 4, 2026.

Chicago

WatkinsX Dictionary, s.v. “Lucas critique,” accessed November 4, 2026, https://dictionary.watkinsx.com/word/Lucas%20critique.

Source: Lucas critique on Wiktionary, CC BY-SA 4.0.